Articles | Open Access | https://doi.org/10.55640/ijmbd-v02i06-01

Fiscal Prudence and Risk Management in Megaprojects: A Longitudinal Analysis of Stuttgart 21

Abstract

Megaprojects, characterized by their immense scale, complexity, and significant public and private investment, frequently face substantial financial and risk management challenges. Cost overruns, schedule delays, and unforeseen complexities are common, often leading to public scrutiny and economic strain. This article presents a longitudinal study of Stuttgart 21, a prominent railway and urban development project in Germany, to examine the intricacies of financial management and risk mitigation strategies in such ventures. By tracing the project's evolution from its inception to its current status, this analysis highlights key financial decisions, funding mechanisms, and the various risks encountered, including technical, political, environmental, and financial. The study identifies critical factors contributing to cost escalation and delays, assesses the effectiveness of implemented risk mitigation measures, and draws broader implications for the successful delivery of future megaprojects. The case of Stuttgart 21 offers valuable insights into the dynamic interplay between project governance, stakeholder management, and the inherent uncertainties of large-scale infrastructure development.

Keywords

Megaprojects, Financial Management, Risk Mitigation

References

Ashkanani, S., & Franzoi, R. (2022). An overview on megaproject management systems. Management Matters, 19(2), 129-148. https://doi.org/10.1108/MANM-01-2022-0006

Berman, K., & Knight, J. (2013). Financial Intelligence. Harvard Business Review Press.

Böll, S. (2011). Grün-rot und stuttgart 21: Viel Geld, Wenig Bahnhof. DER SPIEGEL. Retrieved from https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/gruen-rot-und-stuttgart-21-viel-geld-wenig-bahnhof-a-759527.html

DB Projekt Stuttgart–Ulm. (n.d.). Stuttgart 21- Überlblick. Bahnprojekt Stuttgart- Ulm. Retrieved from https://www.bahnprojekt-stuttgart-ulm.de/projekt/ueberblick/stuttgart-21/

Deutsche Bahn 2022 Integrated Report. (2022). Deutsche Bahn AG.

Deutsche Bahn. (n.d.). Architektur. Bahnprojekt. Retrieved from https://www.bahnprojekt-stuttgartulm.de/projekt/stuttgart-filder-s21/neue-bahnhoefe/hauptbahnhof-stuttgart/architektur/

Die Machbarkeitsstudie | Projekt “Stuttgart 21.” (1996). Deutsche Bahn AG.

Eduardo Yamasaki Sato, C., & De Freitas Chagas Jr, M. (2014). When do megaprojects start and finish? Redefining project lead time for megaproject success. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business, 7(4), 624-637. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJMPB-07-2012-0040

Finanzierungsvertag (2009). DB Netz AG, Land Baden-Würrtemberg, Landeshauptstadt Stuttgart, Verband Region Stuttgart, Flughafen Stuttgart GmbH.

Flyvbjerg, B. (2017). Megaprojects: Over Budget, Over Time, Over and Over. Cato Institute. Retrieved from https://www.cato.org/policy-report/january/february-2017/megaprojects-over-budget-over-time-over-over

Gerichtsentscheidung über S-21-Mehrkostenklage der Bahn. (2024). Baden-Württemberg.de. Retrieved from https://www.badenwuerttemberg.de/de/service/presse/pressemitteilung/pid/verwaltungsgerichtsentscheidung-zur-stuttgart-21-klage

Großprjekt Stuttgart 21- Wendligen- Ulm Chancen und Risiken (2011). DB Projekt Bau GmbH.

He, Q., Xu, J., Wang, T., & Chan, A. P. C. (2021). Identifying the driving factors of successful megaproject construction management: Findings from three Chinese cases. Frontiers of Engineering Management, 8(1), 5-16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42524-019-0058-8

Hillson, D. (2003). Using a Risk Breakdown Structure in project management. Journal of Facilities Management, 2(1), 85-97. https://doi.org/10.1108/14725960410808131

Hörger, D. (2023). Verwaltungsgericht verhandelt über Klage der Bahn zu “Stuttgart 21”-kosten. tagesschau.de. Retrieved from https://www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/finanzen/kosten-stuttgart-21-verhandlung-100.html

Houben, L. (2024). Stuttgart 21: Bahn muss Mehrkosten zahlen. ZDFheute. Retrieved from https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/deutschland/stuttgart-21-mehrkosten-urteil-deutsche-bahn-100.html

Hu, Y., Chan, A. P. C., & Le, Y. (2015). Understanding the Determinants of Program Organization for Construction Megaproject Success: Case Study of the Shanghai Expo Construction. Journal of Management in Engineering, 31(5), 05014019. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000310

Kaiser, S., & Windmann, A. (2010). The “Stuttgart 21” Revolt: Protests Against Mega Project Grow. Der Spiegel. Retrieved from https://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/the-stuttgart-21-revolt-protests-against-megaproject-grow-a-713375.html

Koptyug, E. (2023). Deutsche Bahn net income 2022. Statista. Retrieved from https://www.statista.com/statistics/936104/deutsche-bahn-net-incomegermany/#:~:text=This%20statistic%20shows%20the%20net,amounted%20to%20%2D227%20million%20euros.

Landtag von Baden-Würrtemberg Entschließung von Stuttgart 21 (2006). Land Baden-Würrtemberg.

Locatelli, G., Littau, P., Brookes, N. J., & Mancini, M. (2014). Project Characteristics. Enabling the Success of Megaprojects: An Empirical Investigation in the Energy Sector. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 119, 625-634. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2014.03.070

Mišić, S., & Radujković, M. (2015). Critical Drivers of Megaprojects Success and Failure. Procedia Engineering, 122, 71-80. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2015.10.009

Prozess: Wer zahlt die Milliarden-Mehrkosten von Stuttgart 21? (2023, May 8). Wirtschaftwoche.de. Retrieved from https://www.wiwo.de/politik/deutschland/prozess-wer-zahlt-die-milliarden-mehrkosten-von-stuttgart-21/29138966.html

Shenoy, D., & Mahanty, B. (2021). Measuring the readiness of a megaproject. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business, 14(4), 999-1022. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJMPB-05-2020-0154

Söderlund, J., Sankaran, S., & Biesenthal, C. (2017). The past and Present of Megaprojects. Project Management Journal, 48(6), 5-16. https://doi.org/10.1177/875697281704800602

Stuttgart 21 und Artenschutz. (n.d.). BUND - BUND für Naturschutz und Umwelt in Deutschland. Retrieved July 1, 2024, from https://www.bund-bawue.de/themen/mensch-umwelt/stuttgart-21/stuttgart-21-undartenschutz/

Stuttgart 21: Eine ausführliche Kompaktchronologie. (n.d.). ansTageslicht.de. Retrieved from https://www.anstageslicht.de/macht-und-staatsapparat/stuttgart-21/stuttgart-21-eine-ausfuehrlichekompaktchronologie

SWR Aktuell (2024, May 7). Stuttgart 21: Chronologie der Kostenexplosion. Retrieved from https://www.swr.de/swraktuell/baden-wuerttemberg/s21-stuttgart-21-kosten-chronologie-100.html

Über uns: DB Projekt Stuttgart–Ulm GmbH. (n.d.). Bahnprojekt-Stuttgart-Ulm.de Retrieved from https://www.bahnprojekt-stuttgart-ulm.de/ueber-us/db-projekt-stuttgartulm/

Ursprung & Chronologie (n.d.). Bahnprojekt-Stuttgart-Ulm.De. Retrieved July 2, 2024, from https://www.bahnprojekt-stuttgart-ulm.de/projekt/historie/ursprung-chronologie/

Verzuh, E. (2021). Project Management: A Platform for Innovation. In The Fast Forward MBA in Project Management (6th ed.).

Verzuh, E. (2021). The fast forward MBA in project management: The comprehensive, easy-to-read handbook for beginners and pros (6th ed.). Wiley.

Wang, D., Fu, H., & Fang, S. (2019). The Relationship Between Relational Quality and Megaproject Success: The Moderating Role of Incentives. Engineering Management Journal, 31(4), 257-269. https://doi.org/10.1080/10429247.2019.1624099

Wang, T., Xu, J., He, Q., Chan, A. P. C., & Owusu, E. K. (2022). Studies on the success criteria and critical success factors for mega infrastructure construction projects: A literature review. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 30(5), 1809-1834. https://doi.org/10.1108/ECAM-12-2020-1042

Article Statistics

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Copyright License

Download Citations

How to Cite

Fiscal Prudence and Risk Management in Megaprojects: A Longitudinal Analysis of Stuttgart 21. (2025). International Journal of Management and Business Development, 2(06), 1-7. https://doi.org/10.55640/ijmbd-v02i06-01