The Nigerian Export Promotion Council and Non-Oil Trade Outcomes: An Empirical Analysis
Abstract
Export diversification remains central to economic resilience in resource-dependent economies. Nigeria’s persistent reliance on crude oil exports, which account for over 90% of export earnings, has raised sustained concerns regarding structural imbalance and vulnerability to external shocks. This study examines the institutional role of the Nigerian Export Promotion Council (NEPC) in promoting non-oil exports and evaluates whether its programmes are significantly associated with export promotion outcomes. Drawing on primary data collected from 104 staff members of NEPC and analysed using chi-square statistical techniques, the findings indicate a statistically significant relationship between NEPC programmes and export promotion. Despite evidence of institutional relevance, the growth trajectory of non-oil exports remains modest relative to oil exports. Constraints including inadequate funding, insufficient ICT infrastructure, and policy instability continue to limit effectiveness. The paper contributes to research on export-led development by situating export promotion within an institutional systems framework and by providing empirical insight into the operational dynamics of Nigeria’s apex export agency.
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